Sep 20 2010

Geithner Critical Of Pace Of Yuan Hike;US Lawmakers Seek Action

Dow Jones

China's move toward a more flexible exchange rate has been "too slow," U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said Thursday, as federal lawmakers pushed for more aggressive action to respond to Beijing's policies.

"We are very concerned about the negative impact of these policies on our economic interests, and are pursuing a carefully designed, targeted approach to address these problems," Geithner said during the first of two appearances before congressional committees Thursday.

U.S. lawmakers have grown increasingly frustrated with Beijing's currency policy, which economists say is between 20% to 40% undervalued and contributes to the over-$40 billion-a-month trade deficit. Anger has been exacerbated by the slow U.S. economic recovery, with unemployment hovering around 10%, and in the midst of an election cycle.

Geithner said there is no quick salve to solving the rebalancing issue.

"We're not going to know if we've seen enough ... within 18 months," he told the House Ways and Means Committee Thursday afternoon. "This is something we're going to be pursuing over a sustained period of time."

While the administration has previously taken a soft diplomatic tone, legislators in both chambers have proposed bills that would penalize imports from companies that have artificially manipulated currencies.

Earlier Thursday, Geithner testified before the Senate Banking Committee, where reaction was heated.

"The time for action has long since come. In fact, it is long overdue," said committee chairman Sen. Christopher Dodd, (D., Conn.).

"China basically does whatever it wants while we grow weaker and they grow stronger," Dodd said. "This administration must be the one who takes a stand. For years the Treasury Department has relied on a strategy of dialogue which has yielded few meaningful reforms."

Geithner signaled, however, that the Obama administration remains reluctant to formally label China a currency manipulator under U.S. law. While the Treasury secretary feels the yuan is "significantly undervalued," a formal designation would "not be a particularly effective tool" for achieving U.S. goals.

"If you're not going to label them a currency manipulator when you know and you've said they are...why do you not do that?" said Sen. Richard Shelby (R., Ala.), ranking Republican member on the panel during its hearing.

Geithner said he believed Beijing would ultimately appreciate its currency because it's in China's economic interests, but said the move would come gradually.

Before the later House panel Geithner said the administration does not currently support legislation in the House of Representatives that would penalize other nations for currency manipulation.

"I would not support [the proposals]. They would be deeply damaging to all the things we're trying to do," Geithner said.

Early Thursday the People's Bank of China hiked the yuan to its highest level yet, a move appeared to be designed to calm the situation and curb lawmaker ire. Asked about what an appropriate pace for yuan appreciation, Geithner pointed to the 20% increase seen in the 2005-2008 period when Beijing hiked their rate. China said in June it would again begin moving the yuan towards a market rate, but since then the currency has only risen just over 1%.

Geithner's comments were his strongest yet. "China needs to allow significant, sustained appreciation over time to correct this undervaluation and allow the exchange rate to fully reflect market forces," he told the Senate panel.

Thursday's hearings come at a sensitive time for currency markets, which were focused Wednesday on Japan's move to slow a rising yen with its first intervention in more than six years. Economists said the intervention was an act of desperation that may ratchet up international pressure for Chinese currency reform.

The Treasury Secretary told the Senate panel the Obama administration is using "all tools available" to address the concerns that have been raised. Perhaps in an effort to appease lawmaker frustration, the U.S. on Wednesday filed two new cases against China with the World Trade Organization and said the administration is "reviewing carefully" a recent petition filed by the United Steelworkers against a number of China's policies dealing with green-technology.

Geithner said Washington would continue efforts to leverage yuan action through multilateral means, expecting the issue to be a key part of the agenda when the Group of 20 nations meet in Korea later this year. He also encouraged lawmakers to continue to be vocal on the issue, suggesting it would help strengthen Washington's negotiating position.

"I think it is very important that China hear from the Congress, from Republicans and from Democrats," he said.

Meanwhile, House lawmakers have indicated their legislation could come to the floor for a vote in the coming weeks. It's unclear when the Senate proposal will move ahead.

"As the U.S. mid-term election nears, the temptation of grandstanding on China will be irresistible to most congressmen," said Eswar Prasad, Cornell University economist and the former head of the International Monetary Fund's China department. "Democrats and Republicans are trying to outdo each other in blustering about China's currency and trade policies.

"There is now a real prospect that bluster will turn into action...with broad bipartisan support," he said.